Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons prediction

NFL · 2026 · Week 16December 27, 2026 · 13:00 ET

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

GidStats prediction

Our pick: Atlanta Falcons to win

The model gives the Atlanta Falcons a 56.2% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and projects a 1.7-point margin.

Recorded November 6, 2026, 16:30 ET.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers43.8%
Atlanta Falcons56.2%

These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameTBATL
Games in sample88
Passing yards147.5200.5
Rushing yards168.6134.8
Sacks allowed2.92.0

Head-to-head

Tampa Bay Buccaneers injury report

A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.

Atlanta Falcons injury report

A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync November 6, 2026, 16:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.