Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears prediction

NFL · 2026 · Week 9November 8, 2026 · 20:20 ET
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GidStats prediction

Our pick: Chicago Bears to win

The model gives the Chicago Bears a 66.2% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and projects a 4.7-point margin. Kalshi prices give the Chicago Bears 71.3%.

Recorded November 6, 2026, 18:30 ET.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers33.8%
Chicago Bears66.2%

These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Odds

American odds · Overtime included · Before fees

Market odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers / Chicago Bears
SourceTampa Bay BuccaneersChicago Bears
KalshiMarket oddsChecked +245-257
Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked +248-254
How to read these odds

+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.

Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.

Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameTBCHI
Games in sample88
Passing yards147.5253.9
Rushing yards168.6150.8
Sacks allowed2.92.4

Head-to-head

Tampa Bay Buccaneers injury report

  • A'Shawn Robinson (DT) — Limited Participation in Practice: Not injury related - resting player
  • Chris Godwin Jr. (WR) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Not injury related - resting player
  • Baker Mayfield (QB) — Full Participation in Practice: Thumb
  • Tristan Wirfs (T) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Toe
  • Kenny Gainwell (RB) — Full Participation in Practice: Hip
  • Cade Otton (TE) — Full Participation in Practice: Thumb
  • Yaya Diaby (LB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Knee
  • Cody Mauch (G) — Full Participation in Practice: Back
  • Bucky Irving (RB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Not injury related - resting player
  • Tykee Smith (S) — Limited Participation in Practice: Ankle
  • Emeka Egbuka (WR) — Full Participation in Practice: Foot
  • Elijah Roberts (DT) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - personal matter

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 6, 2026, 15:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Chicago Bears injury report

  • Grady Jarrett (DT) — Limited Participation in Practice: Groin
  • Joe Thuney (G) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Not injury related - resting player
  • T.J. Edwards (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - personal matter
  • D'Marco Jackson (LB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Ankle
  • Zavier Scott (RB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Wrist
  • Theo Benedet (T) — Limited Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Kyle Monangai (RB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Thumb
  • Malik Muhammad (CB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Toe

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 6, 2026, 15:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync November 6, 2026, 18:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.