Nov 1Final
Kansas City Chiefs24
Denver Broncos28Mercedes-Benz Stadium
GidStats prediction
Our pick: Kansas City Chiefs to win
The model gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 53.1% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons and projects a 0.9-point margin. Kalshi prices give the Kansas City Chiefs 62.1%.
Recorded November 6, 2026, 16:30 ET.
Kansas City Chiefs53.1%
Atlanta Falcons46.9%
These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Odds
American odds · Overtime included · Before fees
| Source | Kansas City Chiefs | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| KalshiMarket oddsChecked | -178 | +156 |
| Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked | -180 | +160 |
How to read these odds
+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.
Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.
Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.
Team comparison
Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.
| Per game | KC | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Games in sample | 7 | 8 |
| Passing yards | 256.4 | 200.5 |
| Rushing yards | 134.1 | 134.8 |
| Sacks allowed | 1.3 | 2.0 |
Kansas City Chiefs recent results
Kansas City Chiefs24Denver Broncos28Oct 25Final
Kansas City Chiefs3
Seattle Seahawks20Oct 18Final
Los Angeles Chargers6Kansas City Chiefs22Oct 4Final
Kansas City Chiefs30
Las Vegas Raiders27Sep 27Final
Kansas City Chiefs24
Miami Dolphins10Atlanta Falcons recent results
Nov 1Final
Atlanta Falcons0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers16Oct 25Final
San Francisco 49ers20Atlanta Falcons29Oct 18Final
Chicago Bears31Atlanta Falcons23Oct 11Final
Baltimore Ravens30Atlanta Falcons23Oct 5Final
Atlanta Falcons45
New Orleans Saints24Head-to-head
Sep 22Final
Kansas City Chiefs22Atlanta Falcons17Kansas City Chiefs injury report
A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.
Atlanta Falcons injury report
A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.
Where to play
Explore markets at our partner platforms.
Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology