Oct 11Final
Chicago Bears7
Green Bay Packers31Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Moneyline odds
Polymarket US
Moneyline equivalents · before fees.
Checked
Chicago BearsAway win-1051.95 decimal
Atlanta FalconsHome win+1042.04 decimal
Converted from buy quotes for $1 contracts. Overtime counts; a tie settles each contract at $0.50. Fees are additional, and available prices and quantities can change.
Open Polymarket US ↗Partner link opens the platform. Find this matchup and confirm the price and rules there.
Kalshi
Moneyline equivalents · before fees.
Checked
Chicago BearsAway win-1081.92 decimal
Atlanta FalconsHome win+1002.00 decimal
Converted from buy quotes for $1 contracts. Overtime counts; a tie settles each contract at $0.50. Fees are additional, and available prices and quantities can change.
Kalshi’s checked contracts keep a postponed game open if it starts within 48 hours of the original start; otherwise they settle at a fair price. Settlement rules can differ between platforms.
Open Kalshi ↗Partner link opens the platform. Find this matchup and confirm the price and rules there.
Model prediction
Recorded October 17, 2026, 15:30 ET.
Chicago Bears48.4%
Atlanta Falcons51.6%
Estimated home-team margin: +0.5 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Team comparison
Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.
| Per game | CHI | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Games in sample | 5 | 5 |
| Passing yards | 234.2 | 208.2 |
| Rushing yards | 173.2 | 166.8 |
| Sacks allowed | 2.2 | 2.2 |
Chicago Bears recent results
Chicago Bears7Green Bay Packers31Oct 4Final
New York Jets12Chicago Bears23Sep 28Final
Philadelphia Eagles7Chicago Bears27Sep 20Final
Minnesota Vikings9Chicago Bears3Sep 13Final
Chicago Bears59
Carolina Panthers37Atlanta Falcons recent results
Oct 11Final
Baltimore Ravens30
Atlanta Falcons23Oct 5Final
Atlanta Falcons45
New Orleans Saints24Sep 24Final
Atlanta Falcons35Green Bay Packers14Sep 20Final
Carolina Panthers34Atlanta Falcons3Sep 13Final
Atlanta Falcons13
Pittsburgh Steelers20Head-to-head
Dec 31Final
Atlanta Falcons17Chicago Bears37Chicago Bears injury report
- Grady Jarrett (DT) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - resting player
- Joe Thuney (G) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - resting player
- T.J. Edwards (LB) — Out: Hamstring
- Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) — Out: Quadricep
- Kyler Gordon (CB) — Questionable: Calf
- Tyrique Stevenson (CB) — Questionable: Hip
- Caleb Williams (QB) — Questionable: Hamstring
- Kyle Monangai (RB) — Out: Thumb
- Keyshaun Elliott (LB) — Out: Quadricep
Week 6 report. Source fetched October 17, 2026, 15:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.
Atlanta Falcons injury report
- Jake Matthews (T) — Limited Participation in Practice: Groin
- Za'Darius Smith (DE) — Questionable: Neck
- Jawaan Taylor (T) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - resting player
- C.J. Henderson (CB) — Out: Groin
- Divine Deablo (LB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Hamstring
- Drake London (WR) — Limited Participation in Practice: Hip
- Cameron Thomas (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Groin
- Michael Penix Jr. (QB) — Full Participation in Practice: Rib
- Kendal Daniels (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Achilles
Week 6 report. Source fetched October 17, 2026, 15:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.
Where to play
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Spread and total prices are not displayed. The model percentages above are separate estimates, not partner prices. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology