Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL · 2026 · Week 6October 18, 2026 · 16:25 ET
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
vsScheduled
Away · Home

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Moneyline odds

Polymarket US

Moneyline equivalents · before fees.
Checked

Los Angeles ChargersAway win+3604.60 decimal
Kansas City ChiefsHome win-3651.27 decimal

Converted from buy quotes for $1 contracts. Overtime counts; a tie settles each contract at $0.50. Fees are additional, and available prices and quantities can change.

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Kalshi

Moneyline equivalents · before fees.
Checked

Los Angeles ChargersAway win+3554.55 decimal
Kansas City ChiefsHome win-3761.27 decimal

Converted from buy quotes for $1 contracts. Overtime counts; a tie settles each contract at $0.50. Fees are additional, and available prices and quantities can change.

Kalshi’s checked contracts keep a postponed game open if it starts within 48 hours of the original start; otherwise they settle at a fair price. Settlement rules can differ between platforms.

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Model prediction

Recorded October 17, 2026, 16:00 ET.

Los Angeles Chargers30.5%
Kansas City Chiefs69.5%

Estimated home-team margin: +5.7 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameLACKC
Games in sample54
Passing yards187.4259.3
Rushing yards128.2162.3
Sacks allowed3.41.5

Head-to-head

Los Angeles Chargers injury report

  • Khalil Mack (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - resting player
  • Bud Dupree (DE) — Questionable: Neck
  • Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) — Questionable: Hamstring
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR) — Full Participation in Practice: Rib
  • Donte Jackson (CB) — Out: Hamstring
  • Derwin James (S) — Out: Hamstring
  • Alec Ingold (FB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Shoulder
  • Kayode Awosika (G) — Out: Fibula
  • Elijah Molden (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Hamstring
  • Charlie Kolar (TE) — Full Participation in Practice: Forearm
  • Kendall Williamson (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Ankle
  • Quentin Johnston (WR) — Full Participation in Practice: Chest
  • Daiyan Henley (LB) — Questionable: Knee
  • Justin Eboigbe (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Joe Alt (T) — Out: Neck
  • Ladd McConkey (WR) — Full Participation in Practice: Foot
  • Jamaree Caldwell (DT) — Questionable: Knee
  • KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR) — Questionable: Hamstring
  • Tre Harris (WR) — Out: Hamstring
  • Rodney Shelley (CB) — Doubtful: Hamstring
  • Brenen Thompson (WR) — Questionable: Quadricep

Week 6 report. Source fetched October 17, 2026, 15:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Kansas City Chiefs injury report

  • Patrick Mahomes (QB) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • L'Jarius Sneed (CB) — Questionable: Knee
  • Ben VanSumeren (FB) — Full Participation in Practice: Thumb
  • Chamarri Conner (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Rashee Rice (WR) — Out: Hamstring
  • Josh Simmons (T) — Out: Back
  • Peter Woods (DT) — Full Participation in Practice: Neck

Week 6 report. Source fetched October 17, 2026, 15:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. The model percentages above are separate estimates, not partner prices. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync October 17, 2026, 16:00 ET. Scores may be delayed.