Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots prediction

NFL · 2026 · Week 9November 8, 2026 · 16:25 ET

Gillette Stadium

GidStats prediction

Our pick: New England Patriots to win

The model gives the New England Patriots a 59.1% chance to beat the Green Bay Packers and projects a 2.6-point margin. Kalshi prices give the New England Patriots 61.4%.

Recorded November 7, 2026, 04:30 ET.

Green Bay Packers40.9%
New England Patriots59.1%

These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Odds

American odds · Overtime included · Before fees

Market odds: Green Bay Packers / New England Patriots
SourceGreen Bay PackersNew England Patriots
KalshiMarket oddsChecked +156-163
Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked +153-155
How to read these odds

+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.

Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.

Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameGBNE
Games in sample88
Passing yards280.8253.6
Rushing yards60.6123.1
Sacks allowed1.82.0

Green Bay Packers injury report

  • Zaire Franklin (LB) — Out: Shin
  • Keisean Nixon (CB) — Questionable: Groin
  • Aaron Banks (G) — Limited Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Micah Parsons (LB) — Out: Knee
  • Sean Rhyan (C) — Out: Ankle
  • Christian Watson (WR) — Limited Participation in Practice: Rib
  • Josh Whyle (TE) — Out: Concussion
  • Chris Brooks (RB) — Questionable: Ankle
  • MarShawn Lloyd (RB) — Questionable: Knee
  • Travis Glover (G) — Out: Knee
  • Javon Bullard (S) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Not injury related - personal matter

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 7, 2026, 04:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

New England Patriots injury report

  • Greg Van Roten (G) — Questionable: Hamstring
  • Morgan Moses (T) — Questionable: Foot
  • Hunter Henry (TE) — Questionable: Foot
  • Kevin Byard (S) — Questionable: Chest
  • Mack Hollins (WR) — Questionable: Calf
  • Carlton Davis III (CB) — Questionable: Neck
  • A.J. Brown (WR) — Out: Ankle
  • Dre'Mont Jones (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Christian Barmore (DT) — Full Participation in Practice: Illness
  • Brenden Schooler (S) — Questionable: Hamstring
  • Marcus Jones (CB) — Full Participation in Practice: Foot
  • Drake Maye (QB) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • TreVeyon Henderson (RB) — Out: Illness
  • Gabe Jacas (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 7, 2026, 04:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync November 7, 2026, 04:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.