Sep 27Final
New England Patriots6
Jacksonville Jaguars35Highmark Stadium
Historical model estimate
Retrospective backtest from prior game results; not a forecast recorded before kickoff.
New England Patriots35.0%
Buffalo Bills65.0%
Estimated home-team margin: +4.3 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Team comparison
Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.
| Per game | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Games in sample | 3 | 3 |
| Passing yards | 210.3 | 262.0 |
| Rushing yards | 109.3 | 155.0 |
| Sacks allowed | 3.0 | 2.7 |
New England Patriots recent results
New England Patriots6Jacksonville Jaguars35Sep 20Final
Pittsburgh Steelers3New England Patriots20Sep 9Final
New England Patriots10
Seattle Seahawks13Feb 8Final
Seattle Seahawks29New England Patriots13Jan 25Final
New England Patriots10
Denver Broncos7Buffalo Bills recent results
Sep 27Final
Los Angeles Chargers16
Buffalo Bills24Sep 17Final
Detroit Lions31Buffalo Bills41Sep 13Final
Buffalo Bills36
Houston Texans31Jan 17Final
Buffalo Bills30Denver Broncos33Jan 11Final
Buffalo Bills27Jacksonville Jaguars24Head-to-head
Dec 14Final
Buffalo Bills35New England Patriots31Oct 5Final
New England Patriots23Buffalo Bills20Jan 5Final
Buffalo Bills16New England Patriots23Dec 22Final
New England Patriots21Buffalo Bills24Dec 31Final
New England Patriots21Buffalo Bills27Where to play
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Spread and total prices are not displayed. The model percentages above are separate estimates, not partner prices. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology