Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

NFL · 2026 · Week 4October 5, 2026 · 20:15 ET
45 : 24Final
Away · Home

Caesars Superdome

Historical model estimate

Retrospective backtest from prior game results; not a forecast recorded before kickoff.

Atlanta Falcons48.1%
New Orleans Saints51.9%

Estimated home-team margin: +0.5 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameATLNO
Games in sample33
Passing yards181.3305.7
Rushing yards173.0101.3
Sacks allowed2.33.3

Head-to-head

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. The model percentages above are separate estimates, not partner prices. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync October 17, 2026, 15:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.