Nov 1Final
New England Patriots24
Miami Dolphins19FC Bayern Munich Stadium · Neutral venue
GidStats prediction
Our pick: Detroit Lions to win
The model gives the Detroit Lions a 50.5% chance to beat the New England Patriots and rates the game as a toss-up. Kalshi prices give the Detroit Lions 50.0%.
Recorded November 6, 2026, 16:30 ET.
New England Patriots49.5%
Detroit Lions50.5%
These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Odds
American odds · Overtime included · Before fees
| Source | New England Patriots | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| KalshiMarket oddsChecked | -108 | -108 |
| Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked | -104 | -111 |
How to read these odds
+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.
Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.
Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.
Team comparison
Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.
| Per game | NE | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Games in sample | 8 | 7 |
| Passing yards | 253.6 | 280.6 |
| Rushing yards | 123.1 | 131.4 |
| Sacks allowed | 2.0 | 2.3 |
New England Patriots recent results
New England Patriots24Miami Dolphins19Oct 22Final
New England Patriots24
Chicago Bears30Oct 18Final
New York Jets19New England Patriots26Oct 11Final
Las Vegas Raiders17New England Patriots45Oct 4Final
New England Patriots29
Buffalo Bills26Detroit Lions recent results
Nov 1Final
Minnesota Vikings15
Detroit Lions19Oct 25Final
Green Bay Packers17Detroit Lions20Oct 11Final
Detroit Lions45
Arizona Cardinals21Oct 4Final
Detroit Lions26
Carolina Panthers32Sep 27Final
New York Jets24Detroit Lions31New England Patriots injury report
A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.
Detroit Lions injury report
A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.
Where to play
Explore markets at our partner platforms.
Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology