Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins prediction

NFL · 2026 · Week 9November 8, 2026 · 13:00 ET
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Hard Rock Stadium

GidStats prediction

Our pick: Detroit Lions to win

The model gives the Detroit Lions a 59.8% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins and projects a 2.8-point margin. Kalshi prices give the Detroit Lions 73.3%.

Recorded November 7, 2026, 20:30 ET.

Detroit Lions59.8%
Miami Dolphins40.2%

These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Odds

American odds · Overtime included · Before fees

Market odds: Detroit Lions / Miami Dolphins
SourceDetroit LionsMiami Dolphins
KalshiMarket oddsChecked -285+270
Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked -281+277
How to read these odds

+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.

Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.

Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameDETMIA
Games in sample77
Passing yards280.6181.1
Rushing yards131.4123.3
Sacks allowed2.33.0

Detroit Lions injury report

  • D.J. Reed (CB) — Out: Hip
  • Rock Ya-Sin (CB) — Full Participation in Practice: Cramps
  • DJ Wonnum (DE) — Out: Concussion
  • Amen Ogbongbemiga (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Toe
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) — Questionable: Rib
  • Cade Mays (C) — Out: Ankle
  • Kerby Joseph (S) — Out: Knee
  • Jacob Saylors (RB) — Questionable: Neck
  • Jack Campbell (LB) — Out: Neck
  • Brian Branch (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Concussion
  • Sione Vaki (RB) — Questionable: Ankle

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 7, 2026, 17:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Miami Dolphins injury report

  • Zach Sieler (DT) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Malik Herring (DE) — Questionable: Neck
  • Tucker Addington (LS) — Limited Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Malik Willis (QB) — Full Participation in Practice: Groin
  • Reese Taylor (CB) — Full Participation in Practice: Quadricep
  • Jaylen Wright (RB) — Questionable: Quadricep
  • Chop Robinson (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Dante Trader Jr. (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Kaytron Allen (RB) — Questionable: Quadricep
  • Kadyn Proctor (T) — Full Participation in Practice: Concussion
  • Will Kacmarek (TE) — Full Participation in Practice: Hamstring
  • Michael Taaffe (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Wrist

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 7, 2026, 17:30 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync November 7, 2026, 20:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.