Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction

NFL · 2026 · Week 9November 8, 2026 · 16:05 ET
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SoFi Stadium

GidStats prediction

Our pick: Houston Texans to win

The model gives the Houston Texans a 52.7% chance to beat the Los Angeles Chargers and projects a 0.8-point margin. Kalshi prices give the Houston Texans 69.3%.

Recorded November 7, 2026, 16:30 ET.

Houston Texans52.7%
Los Angeles Chargers47.3%

These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Odds

American odds · Overtime included · Before fees

Market odds: Houston Texans / Los Angeles Chargers
SourceHouston TexansLos Angeles Chargers
KalshiMarket oddsChecked -233+223
Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked -231+228
How to read these odds

+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.

Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.

Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameHOULAC
Games in sample77
Passing yards266.7199.7
Rushing yards84.7111.1
Sacks allowed2.13.3

Head-to-head

Houston Texans injury report

  • Braden Smith (T) — Full Participation in Practice: Ankle
  • Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Groin
  • David Montgomery (RB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Groin
  • Brevin Jordan (TE) — Full Participation in Practice: Finger
  • Reed Blankenship (S) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Concussion
  • Jalen Pitre (S) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Blake Fisher (T) — Full Participation in Practice: Thumb

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 7, 2026, 11:00 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Los Angeles Chargers injury report

  • Khalil Mack (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Not injury related - resting player
  • Denzel Perryman (LB) — Doubtful: Pectoral
  • Bud Dupree (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Illness
  • David Njoku (TE) — Doubtful: Fibula
  • Donte Jackson (CB) — Full Participation in Practice: Hamstring
  • Kayode Awosika (G) — Doubtful: Fibula
  • Deane Leonard (CB) — Out: Concussion
  • Kendall Williamson (S) — Out: Calf
  • Daiyan Henley (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Rodney Shelley (CB) — Full Participation in Practice: Hamstring
  • Brenen Thompson (WR) — Doubtful: Quadricep

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 7, 2026, 11:00 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync November 7, 2026, 16:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.