Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

NFL · 2026 · Week 9November 9, 2026 · 20:15 ET
Buffalo Bills
Minnesota Vikings
vsScheduled
Away · Home

U.S. Bank Stadium

GidStats prediction

Our pick: Minnesota Vikings to win

The model gives the Minnesota Vikings a 52.0% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills and projects a 0.6-point margin. Kalshi prices give the Minnesota Vikings 38.6%, so the market leans toward the Buffalo Bills.

Recorded November 6, 2026, 23:30 ET.

Buffalo Bills48.0%
Minnesota Vikings52.0%

These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.

Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.

Odds

American odds · Overtime included · Before fees

Market odds: Buffalo Bills / Minnesota Vikings
SourceBuffalo BillsMinnesota Vikings
KalshiMarket oddsChecked -163+156
Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked -158+156
Open Kalshi ↗Open Polymarket US ↗
How to read these odds

+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.

Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.

Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.

Team comparison

Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.

Per gameBUFMIN
Games in sample77
Passing yards256.1185.4
Rushing yards148.4113.9
Sacks allowed1.93.0

Buffalo Bills injury report

  • Dion Dawkins (T) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Rib
  • DJ Moore (WR) — Limited Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Bradley Chubb (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Chest
  • Ed Oliver (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Ty Johnson (RB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Illness
  • Greg Gaines (DT) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Calf
  • Spencer Brown (T) — Limited Participation in Practice: Back
  • Josh Palmer (WR) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Hamstring
  • Dee Alford (CB) — Full Participation in Practice: Ankle
  • Alec Anderson (G) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Ankle
  • Tyrell Shavers (WR) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Dalton Kincaid (TE) — Limited Participation in Practice: Chest
  • Joe Andreessen (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Keon Coleman (WR) — Limited Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Jordan Hancock (CB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Hamstring
  • T.J. Sanders (DE) — Full Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • TJ Parker (LB) — Full Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G) — Full Participation in Practice: Back

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 6, 2026, 22:00 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Minnesota Vikings injury report

  • Kyler Murray (QB) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Hamstring
  • Andrew Van Ginkel (LB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Chest
  • Isaiah Rodgers (CB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Ankle
  • Jauan Jennings (WR) — Limited Participation in Practice: Calf
  • Christian Darrisaw (T) — Limited Participation in Practice: Shoulder
  • Theo Jackson (S) — Did Not Participate In Practice: Quadricep
  • Jay Ward (S) — Limited Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Demond Claiborne (RB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Knee
  • Jake Golday (LB) — Limited Participation in Practice: Calf

Week 9 report. Source fetched November 6, 2026, 22:00 ET. A practice status is not a confirmed game absence.

Where to play

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Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.

Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology

Source: nflverse · Last successful sync November 6, 2026, 23:30 ET. Scores may be delayed.