Sep 28Final
New Era Field
Historical model estimate
Retrospective backtest from prior game results; not a forecast recorded before kickoff.
New England Patriots22.4%
Buffalo Bills77.6%
Estimated home-team margin: +8.6 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
New England Patriots recent results
Sep 21Final
Sep 14Final
Sep 7Final
Jan 5Final
Buffalo Bills recent results
Sep 28Final
Sep 18Final
Sep 14Final
Sep 7Final
Jan 26Final
Head-to-head
Jan 5Final
Dec 22Final
Dec 31Final
Oct 22Final
Where to play
Explore markets at our partner platforms.
- UnderdogView markets
- PolymarketView markets
- KalshiView markets
- NovigView markets
- Onyx OddsView markets
Affiliate links. We may receive a commission.
Spread and total prices are not displayed. The model percentages above are separate estimates, not partner prices. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology


