Nov 1Final
Indianapolis Colts7
Jacksonville Jaguars42Reliant Stadium
GidStats prediction
Our pick: Houston Texans to win
The model gives the Houston Texans a 64.6% chance to beat the Indianapolis Colts and projects a 4.2-point margin. Polymarket US prices give the Houston Texans 69.0%.
Recorded November 6, 2026, 16:30 ET.
Indianapolis Colts35.4%
Houston Texans64.6%
These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Odds
American odds · Overtime included · Before fees
| Source | Indianapolis Colts | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket USMarket oddsChecked | +150 | -809 |
How to read these odds
+130 means $130 profit per $100; −131 means risking $131 for $100 profit, before fees. These equivalents use each platform’s current contract buy prices. Fees and available quantities affect the final return.
Overtime counts. The checked NFL contracts settle at $0.50 on a tie. Kalshi allows a postponed game to start within 48 hours; otherwise it settles at a fair price.
Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.
Team comparison
Regular-season averages from available weeks before this game. Later results are excluded.
| Per game | IND | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Games in sample | 8 | 7 |
| Passing yards | 193.8 | 266.7 |
| Rushing yards | 116.5 | 84.7 |
| Sacks allowed | 2.9 | 2.1 |
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Houston Texans29Indianapolis Colts27Indianapolis Colts injury report
A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.
Houston Texans injury report
A current injury report for this game is unavailable. This does not mean that every player is healthy.
Where to play
Explore markets at our partner platforms.
Spread and total prices are not displayed. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology