Jan 4Final
Los Angeles Chargers3
Denver Broncos19Gillette Stadium
Historical model estimate
Retrospective backtest from prior game results; not a forecast recorded before kickoff.
Los Angeles Chargers43.8%
New England Patriots56.2%
Estimated home-team margin: +1.7 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Los Angeles Chargers recent results
Los Angeles Chargers3Denver Broncos19Dec 27Final
Houston Texans20Los Angeles Chargers16Dec 21Final
Los Angeles Chargers34
Dallas Cowboys17Dec 14Final
Los Angeles Chargers16
Kansas City Chiefs13Dec 8Final
Philadelphia Eagles19Los Angeles Chargers22New England Patriots recent results
Jan 4Final
Miami Dolphins10
New England Patriots38Dec 28Final
New England Patriots42
New York Jets10Dec 21Final
New England Patriots28
Baltimore Ravens24Dec 14Final
Buffalo Bills35New England Patriots31Dec 1Final
New York Giants15New England Patriots33Head-to-head
Where to play
Explore markets at our partner platforms.
- UnderdogView markets
- PolymarketView markets
- KalshiView markets
- NovigView markets
- Onyx OddsView markets
Affiliate links. We may receive a commission.
Spread and total prices are not displayed. The model percentages above are separate estimates, not partner prices. A broadcast channel has not been confirmed.
Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology