Sep 30Final
Gillette Stadium
Historical model estimate
Retrospective backtest from prior game results; not a forecast recorded before kickoff.
Miami Dolphins49.9%
New England Patriots50.1%
Estimated home-team margin: +0.0 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Miami Dolphins recent results
Sep 22Final
Sep 12Final
Sep 8Final
Jan 13Final
New England Patriots recent results
Sep 29Final
Sep 19Final
Sep 15Final
Sep 8Final
Jan 7Final
Head-to-head
Oct 29Final
Sep 17Final
Where to play
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Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology


