Dec 31Final
New England Patriots21
Buffalo Bills27Hard Rock Stadium
Historical model estimate
Retrospective backtest from prior game results; not a forecast recorded before kickoff.
Buffalo Bills48.8%
Miami Dolphins51.2%
Estimated home-team margin: +0.3 points. These two-outcome estimates do not separately model ties.
Injuries and quarterback changes are not model inputs. Historical market prices were more accurate in our test. Compare the full results.
Buffalo Bills recent results
New England Patriots21Buffalo Bills27Dec 23Final
Buffalo Bills24
Los Angeles Chargers22Dec 17Final
Dallas Cowboys10Buffalo Bills31Dec 10Final
Buffalo Bills20
Kansas City Chiefs17Nov 26Final
Buffalo Bills34
Philadelphia Eagles37Miami Dolphins recent results
Dec 31Final
Miami Dolphins19
Baltimore Ravens56Dec 24Final
Dallas Cowboys20Miami Dolphins22Dec 17Final
New York Jets0Miami Dolphins30Dec 11Final
Tennessee Titans28Miami Dolphins27Dec 3Final
Miami Dolphins45
Washington Commanders15Head-to-head
Oct 1Final
Miami Dolphins20Buffalo Bills48Where to play
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Source: GidStats editorial team · Model and data methodology