FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

BundesligaNovember 7, 2026 · 09:30 ET

MEWA Arena, Mainz

1X2 · Regulation time

Match probabilities

Estimated chances · % · 90 minutes plus stoppage time

Market estimate: FSV Mainz 05 / Draw / Bayern München
SourceFSV Mainz 05DrawBayern München
KalshiMarket estimateChecked 12.8%13.7%73.5%
Polymarket USMarket estimateChecked 12.8%13.7%73.5%
How to read these percentages

These percentages express the market’s estimated chances. Each outcome’s current contract buy price is divided by the sum of all three prices from that platform, then rounded so the row totals 100%. Platforms are calculated separately. These are estimates, not payout rates or guaranteed results.

1 means a home win, X a draw and 2 an away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count. The three prices come from the same platform. Postponement and settlement rules can differ between platforms.

Prices refresh automatically and expire after five minutes or at kickoff. Partner links open the platform; find this game and confirm its current price and rules there.

Match analysis

Results before November 6, 2026, 16:10 ET.

FSV Mainz 05

Home

Recent results

Matches in sample: 5

Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals
11:14

At home

Matches in sample: 5

Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals
7:13

In the standings: position 9. Points: 10; played: 8.

Bayern München

Away

Recent results

Matches in sample: 5

Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals
15:6

Away from home

Matches in sample: 5

Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals
12:7

In the standings: position 1. Points: 18; played: 8.

Head-to-head record

Matches in sample: 2

WinsFSV Mainz 05
0
Draws
1
WinsBayern München
1

Total goals: 5:6, in the order FSV Mainz 05 — Bayern München. Includes previous meetings with known regulation-time scores.

Each sample includes up to five completed matches across all competitions. Scores cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Historical match pages use only results from before kickoff.

GidStats opinion

Bayern München is our favorite, but we do not expect a clean-sheet win.

The away team won 3 of its last 5 away matches; the home team won 0 of 5 at home. However, Bayern München conceded in 4 of 5 matches away, while FSV Mainz 05 scored in 4 of 5 home matches.

GidStats editorial team

Recent form

FSV Mainz 05

Wins: 2 in the last 5 available matches.

Bayern München

Wins: 3 in the last 5 available matches.

Head-to-head

Lineups

Lineups have not been published or are unavailable for this match.

About the match

When does the match start?

November 7, 2026, 09:30 (ET). MEWA Arena

What do 1, X and 2 mean?

1 means a home win, X a draw and 2 an away win. Odds refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.